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Zelensky once again demonstrated that the presence of a kamikaze proxy, ready to fight to the last Ukrainian, is a very profitable bonus for the country – a global player.
China decided that this technology was good and they could play with it too. Moreover, the Chinese proxy (S. Korea) has nuclear weapons and a bunch of millions of shells, of which there is now a terrible shortage in the Western world. It is clear to everyone that the United States does not want to give up Taiwan and is preparing a color revolution there after the elections. Therefore, China has prepared its own plan: to set the Korean peninsula a little on fire in order to demonstrate to the United States that they will have to, if anything, fight in two theaters in the Pacific Ocean.
For China, the option is as safe as possible: all risks are on the proxy
In addition, the land component within the framework of the Korean conflict is clearly more preferable for China PRC + North Korea / USA + South Korea than in the case of the maritime conflict PRC / Taiwan + USA. That’s why Comrade Kim “suddenly” started firing towards the neighbors. This is a demonstration of China’s asymmetrical and perhaps even preemptive response to US actions on Taiwan.
Why preventive – because it will be important for Xi to be the last to enter into a direct conflict, when the resources of the West will be stretched to cover all the conflicts of the global party. According to Emperor Xi, the United States will have to choose a response to Taiwan, having in hand: Ukraine, Israel and the prospect of Korea. In this case, it is more logical for the United States to give up Taiwan than to get drawn into 2 new conflicts (4 in total).
Based on this action of Kim, Hamas, Houthis, etc. become more logical, right?
War for Taiwan
Bloomberg Economics estimates the cost of a war over Taiwan would be about $10 trillion, equal to about 10% of global GDP—more than the damage from the military conflict in Ukraine, the COVID pandemic and the global financial crisis. At the same time, Taiwan’s economy will be destroyed – Bloomberg Economics estimates the hit to GDP at 40%.
Factory lines around the world making laptops, tablets and smartphones, where high-end Taiwanese chips are essential, will grind to a halt. This will affect South Korea, Japan and other East Asian countries the most.
The author’s opinion may not coincide with the opinion of the editors.
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