May 6, 2024

Athens News

News in English from Greece

We should not expect winter this year, the UN World Meteorological Organization announced (video)


2023 will be the hottest year ever recorded on the planet, and next year is likely to be even warmer, the UN WMO warns.

Until the spring of 2024, the organization’s meteorologists believe, the El Niño phenomenon will affect the northern hemisphere, and this will lead to a new increase in temperature. The WMO statement said there is a 90% chance of the cyclical weather event lasting until April 2024 and that El Niño is highly likely to peak in the coming winter.

From June to October 2023, all high temperature “records” have been broken, portending a particularly ominous future for the environment. Following a summer with the highest average global temperatures ever recorded, the European Copernicus Observatory announced, quotes CNN Greece:

“Given the extremely high ocean surface temperatures, it is likely that 2023 will be the warmest year on record.”

The observatory’s forecast is shared by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The department said there is a 99% chance that 2023 will be a year of record high temperatures. Professor Petri Taalas, Secretary General of the World Meteorological Organization, warns:

“Next year will probably be even warmer. This is clearly and without a doubt due to the increasing concentration of heat-trapping greenhouse gases caused by human activities. Some hard-hit areas will experience an increase in extreme events such as heat waves, droughts, wildfires, heavy rainfall and flooding.”

The organization explains: “In September, surface temperatures in the east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean had the characteristics of a moderate episode. Temperatures below the surface of the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean are much warmer than average. This higher-than-normal heat content has contributed to a sustained increase in sea surface temperatures over the past four months and is expected to cause a further (albeit weaker) increase in these temperatures in the coming months, depending on the intensity and pattern of atmospheric forcing.”

So, according to the UN World Meteorological Organization, given the development of past warm episodes, as well as the most recent long-term forecasts, a gradual weakening of El Niño is expected to occur no earlier than the spring of 2024 in the Northern Hemisphere, while the likelihood of a cooling El Niño almost zero.

El Niño – phenomenon, as a result of which the equatorial part of the Pacific Ocean becomes warmer than usual by no more than 3°C. The reverse process, when it becomes colder than usual by about the same temperature, is called La Niña. These terms translate from Spanish as “boy” and “girl”. Events occur every 2–7 years and affect the climate in different parts of the Earth.

The alternating cycle is called the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) because each El Niño is naturally followed by a La Niña and vice versa. Between these events, temperatures are normal for several months. 3°C may not seem like much, but the change is enough to disrupt weather patterns on a global scale.



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