The countdown to the attack on Kharkov and Odessa has begun: Russian armies are ready for the final stage of the war

Vladimir Putin, who received more than 87% of the votes in the elections, received carte blanche from the people of Russia to continue waging the war in Ukraine at his own discretion and, above all, to “end it” with the occupation of Kharkov and Odessa.

Russian troops are ready for the final offensive in the spring

Putin, who received a new mandate in the elections, defines the current war as a “liberation” one and therefore declares his readiness to return two large cities to Russian territory, since he considers them completely Russian.

For now, the Kremlin sees the current situation as a ripe opportunity for decisive victories, as most of the Ukrainian armed forces have been destroyed and the supply of large quantities of weapons systems and ammunition is impossible, which could pose a serious obstacle to the Russian offensive.

In addition, the main line of defense of Ukraine has been displaced due to very heavy defeats near Bakhmut and Avdiivka. The Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have the necessary time to restore such urban “fortresses.”

Note that small cities become much more easily penetrated fortresses precisely because of their small size. The same cannot be said about Kharkov and Odessa, which are huge and have large Russian-speaking populations. This means that the parties in these cities will have to fight bloody urban battles.

What has already been done in the case of Odessa, and with great success, since it is believed that a major blow to the French and British (reportedly at least 50 were killed, according to other sources – up to 500) a few days ago was dealt after , as Russian supporters pointed out as the target.

It is assumed that something similar is already being organized in Kharkov

Another important factor is that enough time has passed since the new regions became part of the Russian Federation that Russian troops have had time to move their infrastructure to them. This means that the Russian army is no longer fighting on “foreign territory” and has the support it needs to fight and win.

Kyiv and the West knew how important the stakes were in the Russian presidential election and tried to carry out suicide and drone attacks throughout these days to create the image of a serious problem in the Russian Belgorod. However, the Russians knew about these attacks at least two weeks before, so they were able to deal with them easily, inflicting very heavy losses on the Ukrainians.

In recent days, the Russians have replaced their border guards with special units of the GRU, as well as with volunteers from special military corps. They were expecting saboteurs from the so-called. “Legion of Freedom of Russia” and destroyed most of them.

Military analysts believe that the new Russian offensive, according to the rules of logic, will first begin on Kharkov, but some events in recent days indicate that it may also be aimed at Odessa. In Kharkov they definitely want to advance to retake areas they have lost, such as Izyum and Kupyansk, and also because it will especially help them in the subsequent capture of Slavyansk and Kramatorsk.

But the sabotage war started by the 5th column of the Russian Federation in Odessa, the destruction of radars, the destruction of the assembly line for naval drones and the destruction of the center where hired Western specialists were located, shows that the Russians have plans for this Black Sea city. Moreover, if Odessa is taken, Ukraine will be cut off from the Black Sea. The Russian Black Sea Fleet will receive freedom of action both in the form of participation in missile attacks and in the form of conducting landing operations in support of Russian troops. And this is the ability to launch at least 50 Caliber missiles in a salvo.

Transnistria

Another key factor dictating the occupation of the city in the short term is Transnistria. It has been asking for help for a long time. This assistance cannot be effective if Odessa stands between the region and Russian troops, since the Russian Federation does not have direct access to this region.

In addition, it turned out that there is a serious problem with Ukrainian F-16s, since the combat performance of pilots is considered low, and therefore the West is reluctant to take them into the air. Western experts, despite praising Ukrainian pilots in the media, believe that they will be destroyed by Russian fighters, whose pilots have extensive combat experience. There is also a very small chance that we will see combat clashes between American F-35s and Russian Su-57s in the coming months.

It is taken for granted that the Russian fifth-generation fighter will become much more active in the near future (perhaps it was the one that destroyed the military center in Odessa), and it is no longer a secret that American reconnaissance aircraft and UAVs are using their systems to detect Russian anti-aircraft batteries with onward transmission APU data.

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