SYRIZA’s defeat turns second election into formal procedure

The serious defeat of SYRIZA, at least in terms of its leadership and self-confidence of the ND, turns the re-election into a formal procedure.

Regarding the second place, SYRIZA has a significant advantage over PASOK, but now it is showing a tendency towards further disintegration and decline, and, of course, A. Tsipras will have N. Androulakis as an opponent, and not K. Mitsotakis.

After counting 99.48% of the votes, the results of New Democracy are 40.79%, SYRIZA – 20.07%, PASOK – 11.46%, KKE – 7.22%, Greek Solution (Ελληνική Λύση) Velopoulos – 4.45% . Victory (ΝΙΚΗ) – 2.92%, Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (“Course of Freedom”) Constantopoulou – 2.89%, MEPA25 Varoufakis – 2.61%.

Anyone who thinks that this picture can somehow be reversed is probably at odds with reality. In fact, if SYRIZA doesn’t regroup immediately, they risk seeing more of their constituents “cross over” to PASOK. Also, given the fact that SYRIZA was once a 3% party, its voters are “indebted” to the former ruling PASOK party, from which they had previously “poached” voters. Voters are like team fans. They don’t like to lose, and certainly not in this way.

As for small parties, it is most likely that the floating party “Πλεύση Ελευθερίας” and ΝΙΚΗ will still get into parliament. Πλεύση Ελευθερίας bit off the voices from SYRIZA. Most likely, more SYRIZA voters will vote for her than previously thought, since no one thinks that SYRIZA has any chance of competing for power.

As for ΝΙΚΗ, this party also has a good chance of getting into parliament, since it is no longer an “obstacle” to the ND Kyriakos Mitsotakis and his goal of a comfortable rule based on expanded proportional representation, which will lead to a second election.

Based on the bonus for 1st place in 1 round, The ND will easily reach 170 deputies, and maybe more. In case of extended proportional representation, if the first party achieves a percentage equal to or greater than 25%, they receive a bonus of 20 places and one more place for every additional half point. The “ceiling” of the multi-level bonus is 40%, which corresponds to a maximum of fifty places. The same applies in the case of a coalition of parties.

In short, if the ND gets 40-41% again (and it most likely will), it will secure a bonus of 50 seats in parliament. On the contrary, in this case, the entry of other small parties will weaken the remaining four parties in parliament that appeared yesterday. They will lose their seats and the votes of their electorate will go to the two parties that will enter (if they enter) the parliament that will arise after the June 25 elections.

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