Poll from Pulse: ND ahead by 6.5%, SYRIZA unchanged, PASOK in the red

According to a new survey commissioned by SKAI from Pulse, the difference between ND and SYRIZA in voting intentions is 6.5%.

It is interesting to note that, according to Pulse, ND is increasing its lead over SYRIZA PC, with the majority of citizens favoring Kyriakos Mitsotakis as prime minister. However, even if the ND wins, with a proportional distribution of seats, the current ruling party has no chance of creating an independent government.

The way out could be a coalition with PASOK-KINALhowever, the leader of this party, Nikos Androulakis, had previously categorically rejected this combination.

Pulse: who will you vote for

In particular, in the intention to vote, ND receives 31% (from 29.5%), SYRIZA PC remains at the level of 25%, PASOK-KINAL – 9% (half a percentage point decrease), KKE is stable – 5.5%, MERA25 – 4.5 % (from 3.5%), Hellenic Solution – 3.5% and Kasidiaris Party – “Ellines” – 3%.

Undecided make up 11%, and another 3.5% refused to answer questions.

Intention to vote by way of recourse

Intending to vote, with a decrease in the number of valid votes, ND rises to 32%, SYRIZA PC to 25.5%, PASOK-KINAL to 9.5%, KKE to 6%, MERA25 to 5%, Hellenic Solution to 4%, Greeks up to 3% and 11% undecided.

Pulse: who is predicted to win

In terms of winning performance, “NEW DEMOCRACY (ND)” is consistently leading with a 30-point lead over SYRIZA PC, even increasing its lead. The percentage of NEW DEMOCRACY (ND)a is 56% (from 52%), Syriza – 26% (from 28%).

Pulse: Citizens prefer Prime Minister Mitsotakis

Kyriakos Mitsotakis is preferred as prime minister by 38% (up from the previous poll), compared to 26% for Alexis Tsipras (up from 25%) and 9% for Nikos Androulakis (up from 11%).

Pulse: what citizens say about coalition governments

To the question “If there is no self-governing government in the next national elections, what would be the best thing to do?” respondents answer as follows:

• 21% are in favor of a coalition government at any cost
• 37% are in favor of a coalition government and, if it does not work, for new elections
• 34% new elections as soon as possible
• 8% don’t know/no answer

Moreover, 31% of citizens prefer an independent government to New Democracy, and 10% prefer a coalition government, the core of which is NEW DEMOCRACY (ND).

14% of respondents said they want a stand-alone SYRIZA PC government, and 16% want a coalition government with SYRIZA PC at its core.

6% of respondents say they would prefer a grand coalition government with ND-SYRIZA PC and other parties, while 15% say they would prefer “someone else”. 8% chose “don’t know/no answer”.

Scenarios for the distribution of undecideds and places

The Pulse survey also asked a special question to those who said they were undecided: “Which choice do you like best?”.

37% were undecided (“don’t know/no answer”), 7% chose the white option/don’t vote. 8% said they were closer to ND, 14% were closer to SYRIZA PC, 3% were closer to PASOK-KINAL, 5% were closer to KKE, 3% were closer to “Hellenic Solution”, 8% were closer to the National Hellenic Party, and 15% undecided answered “other”.

In the scenarios developed by Pulse regarding the distribution of seats in the seven-party parliament, neither the combination of the first and third parties (ND-PASOK), nor the so-called government of losers between the second, third and fifth parties (SYRIZA, PASOK, MERA25) arise.

Thus, with the proportional distribution of undecided voters, ND receives 35.5% compared to 28.5% SYRIZA, 11% PASOK-KINAL, 4.5% Hellenic Solution, 5.5% MERA25, 3.5% Hellenic National Party , while small parties receive 4.5%.

In the first scenario of the distribution of seats in a six-party parliament and 8% outside of parliament, the parties will receive:

1. NEW DEMOCRACY (ND): 116 seats
2. SYRIZA PC: 93 seats
3. PASOK-KINAL: 36 seats
4. KKE: 23 seats
5. Hellenic Solution: 14 seats
6. MERA25: 18 seats

In the same scenario with a seven-party parliament and 4.5% outside of parliament, the distribution of seats would be as follows:

1. NEW DEMOCRACY (ND): 111 seats
2. SYRIZA PC: 90 seats
3. PASOK-KINAL: 35 seats
4. KKE: 22 seats
5. Hellenic Solution: 14 seats
6. MERA25: 17 seats
7. Part of Kasidiaris – “Ellines”: 11 seats

In the second scenario, with the distribution of the undecided by a special question, the electoral percentages will be as follows:

1. NEW DEMOCRACY (ND): 33.5%
2. SYRIZA PC: 28%
3. PASOK-KINAL: 10.5%
4. CCF: 7%
5. Hellenic Solution: 4.5%
6. MERA25: 5%
7. Kasidiaris part – “Ellines” : 4.5%
8. All small parties together 7%.

In the second scenario, with 11.5% of the seats outside the parliament and six parties inside, the distribution of seats would be as follows:

1. NEW DEMOCRACY (ND): 114 seats
2. SYRIZA PC: 95 seats
3. PASOK-KINAL: 35 seats
4. KKE: 24 seats
5. Hellenic Solution: 15 seats
6. MERA25: 17 seats

In the same scenario, with 7% outside parliament and a seven-party parliament, the distribution of seats would be as follows:

1. NEW DEMOCRACY (ND): 108 seats
2. SYRIZA PC: 90 seats
3. PASOK-KINAL: 34 seats
4. KKE: 22 seats
5. Hellenic Solution: 15 seats
6. MERA25: 16 seats
7. Part of Kasidiaris – “Ellines” : 15 seats

View the entire Pulse PDF survey by attachment.

It is worth noting that earlier the opposition has been severely criticized polling companies, questioning their impartiality and accusing them of playing along with the current government.

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