Four Syrias instead of one: why the Kurds are the main losers

Syria moving more and more clearly towards the factual division into several zones of influence. This is reported by the Kurdish network Rojava Networkarguing that the scenario of territorial fragmentation of the country has already been de facto formed.

According to this logic, territories east of the Euphrates are under control USAwhereas western regions move into the sphere of influence Turkey. Russia retains control over the coastal zone, where they live compactly AlawitesA Israel strengthens its position in the south – in areas of residence Druze and in the Golan Heights.

Formally, such a scheme is presented as a division along ethno-confessional principles. However, in practice it does not take into account the actual demographics and distribution of the population. Kurdsjust like Christiansdo not live compactly, but scatteredly, which automatically makes them the losing side in a similar configuration.

#Syria #Kurds Syrien werde wohl auf jeden Fall geteilt, berichtet Rojava Network. Das Gebiet östlich des Euphrat “gehört” dann den USA, das westlich davon der Türkei. Russland “bekomme” die Küstengebiete (Alawiten) und Israel den Süden (Drusen)/Golan/Libanon. Die Kurden würden… pic.twitter.com/KSxL5IC93r

— YOURMEDIA AGENCY (@YourmediaAgency) January 15, 2026

The key problem pointed out by Kurdish sources is that Kurds are effectively excluded from the decision-making process. They are not considered either as an independent political entity or as a factor capable of influencing the future architecture of Syria.

Particularly irritating is the situation in eastern part of the countrywhich de facto does not obey Damascus and controlled by forces SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces). The basis of SDF is precisely Kurdish formationswho for years ensured the security of the region and conducted military operations against radical groups.

Despite this, in the discussed scenarios for the future of Syria, the Kurds are assigned the role of extras, not participants. This was the reason open indignation in the Kurdish environment, where the thesis is increasingly heard that their contribution is being used, but others are receiving political dividends.

Thus, we are talking not just about the territorial division of the country, but about reformatting Syria without taking into account the interests of key forces on the ground. In this construction, the Kurds are not part of the solution, but part of the problem, which external players choose to ignore.

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