What is hidden in the “US peace plan”: a complete analysis of all 28 points of the future deal

“US Peace Plan” of 28 points, which Washington, Moscow and Kyiv are discussing, reveals a large-scale vision of the future security architecture, new borders and financial structure of the region. The document represents an attempt to establish a long-term balance of power and at the same time resolve territorial, military, economic and humanitarian issues.”at least that’s what the media who leaked this plan say…

Below is proposed plan conflict resolution between Russia, Ukraine And Europedesigned in the form 28 points, which describe the issues security, sanctions, territorial settlement And post-war reconstruction.

1. Sovereignty Ukraine will be confirmed.
2. Between Russia, Ukraine And Europe a full and comprehensive agreement will be concluded on non-aggression. All controversial and controversial issues over the past 30 years will be considered resolved.
3. It is assumed that Russia will not invade neighboring countries, but NATO will not expand beyond its current boundaries.
4. Through mediation USA a dialogue will begin between Russia And NATO in order to resolve all issues securitycreate conditions for de-escalationstrengthen global security and expand opportunities for the future economic development.
5. Ukraine will receive reliable security guarantees.
6. Number Armed Forces of Ukraine will be limited 600,000 military personnel.
7. Ukraine will enshrine in its Constitution the provision that it will not enter into NATOA NATO will include in its documents an obligation not to accept Ukraine into the alliance under any circumstances in the future.
8. NATO undertakes not to station its troops on the territory Ukraine.
9. European fighters will be located on site Poland.
10. Guarantee USA For Ukraine And Russia:
    1. USA will receive compensation for providing this security guarantees.
    2. If Ukraine will invade the territory Russiashe will lose this guarantee.
    3. If Russia will invade the territory Ukrainethen, in addition to a decisive and coordinated military responseglobal sanctionsand recognition of new territories and any other benefits provided for by the agreement will be canceled.
    4. If Ukraine without sufficient grounds will launch a missile strike on Moscow or St. Petersburg, security guarantee will be considered invalid.
11. Ukraine retains the right to join European Union and receives short-term preferential access to European marketwhile this issue is under consideration.
12. A powerful global package of measures is being formed to restoration of Ukraineincluding:
    1. Creation Ukraine Development Fund for investments in sectors with high growth potential, including technologies, data centers And artificial intelligence.
    2. Collaboration USA And Ukraine on restoration, modernization and operation of gas infrastructure Ukraineincluding pipelines And gas storage facilities.
    3. Joint efforts to restore war-damaged areas, including reconstruction And modernization cities and residential areas.
    4. Development infrastructure on the territory Ukraine.
    5. Development and increase mining and other natural resources.
    6. World Bank will develop a special package financing to speed up these processes.
13. Russia will be gradually reintegrated into world economy:
    1. Removal sanctions will be discussed and agreed upon step by step and on an individual basis.
    2. USA will sign a long-term agreement on economic cooperation With Russia in the field of energy, natural resources, infrastructure, artificial intelligence, data centersmining projects rare earth metals V Arctic and other mutually beneficial corporate initiatives.
    3. Russia will be invited to return to the format G8.
14. Frozen assets will be used as follows: $100 billion frozen Russian funds will be sent to the headed USA program to restore and invest in Ukraine. USA will receive 50% profits from this project. Europe will add more $100 billionthereby increasing the total amount of funds for restoration of Ukraine. European frozen Russian assets will be unfrozen. The remainder of the Russian frozen funds will be directed to a separate US-Russian investment fund for the implementation of joint projects in specified areas. The purpose of this fund is to strengthen bilateral relations and creating a strong motivation not to return to armed conflict.
15. A joint US-Russian security working group to facilitate and monitor the implementation of all provisions of the agreement.
16. Russia will legislate non-aggression policy on Europe And Ukraine.
17. USA And Russia agree on the extension of agreements on non-proliferation of nuclear weapons and him controlincluding contract START-1.
18. Ukraine confirms status nuclear-weapon-free state within Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT).
19. Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant will be put into operation under supervision IAEAand the generated electricity will be distributed between Russia And Ukraine in proportion 50:50.
20. Russia And Ukraine undertake to implement educational programs in schools and society aimed at developing mutual understanding, toleranceelimination racism And prejudices:
    1. Ukraine implements norms EU By religious tolerance and protection linguistic minorities.
    2. Both countries will eliminate discriminatory measures and guarantee rights Ukrainian And Russian Mediaas well as educational institutions.
    3. Any Nazi ideology and related activities must be clearly condemned and prohibited.
21. Territorial issues will be settled as follows:
    1. Crimea, Lugansk And Donetsk will be recognized as de facto territories Russiaincluding from outside USA.
    2. Kherson And Zaporozhye will be “frozen” along the line of contact, which means de facto recognition of the border along the current front line.
    3. Russia will give up other controlled territories outside the five regions mentioned.
    4. Ukraine will withdraw his forces from the unit Donetsk regionwhich she controls now. This zone will become neutral demilitarized buffer territoryinternationally recognized as belonging to Russian Federation. At the same time, Russian troops will not enter this demilitarized zone.
22. After agreeing on future territorial agreements as Russian Federationso Ukraine undertake not to change them by force. Any security guarantees will not apply in the event of a breach of this obligation.
23. Russia will not interfere with use Ukraine rivers Dnieper for commercial activities. Agreements on free transportation will be reached grains through Black Sea.
24. Will be created humanitarian committee to resolve open questions:
    1. All prisoners of war and the bodies of the dead will be exchanged according to the principle “all for all”.
    2. All civilian detainees and hostages, including childrenwill be released and returned.
    3. The program will be implemented family reunification.
    4. Measures will be taken to alleviate suffering victims of the conflict.
25. Ukraine will conduct elections 100 days after the agreement enters into force.
26. All parties involved in the conflict receive full amnesty for actions during the war and undertake not to make mutual claims or initiate proceedings in the future.
27. The agreement will have legally binding. Its implementation will be controlled and guaranteed by a specially created Peace Councilwho will lead Donald J. Trump. Violations will be subject to specific penalties. sanctions.
28. Once all parties agree to this memorandum, cease-fire will come into force immediately as soon as both sides withdraw troops to the agreed lines and begin practical implementation of the agreement.

Editorial opinion. The so-called “US peace plan” from 28 pointswhich went viral, not an official document of Washington. However, this does not negate its political significance. This is not a fake, but a characteristic one. pressure draftcompiled from real ideas that are circulating today in diplomatic circles of the USA, Russia and European capitals.

What looks realistic in the document

A number of points clearly echo what Donald Trump’s political advisers and representatives of the so-called American “realists” school are discussing: mandatory non-alignment of Ukraine, limiting the number of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, restoration investments from the US and the EU, discussion of the future Zaporozhye NPP under the control of the IAEA, as well as the idea of ​​“freezing” the contact line.

Such provisions may indeed appear on the negotiating table if Washington decides to pressure Kyiv into a compromise under promises of security and economic support.

What looks impossible in open form

“De facto recognition” clauses Crimea, Donetsk And Lugansk Russian territories in the current American political system are impossible. Even the Trump administration will not be able to publicly sign such a wording: the bureaucracy, Congress and NATO will block it.

Similarly, there is a direct promise of the return of the Russian Federation to the G8. Such a solution is possible only after lengthy hidden negotiations and a change in the political climate in the EU, which is not the case now.

Where do the legs of the text come from?

The document looks like a typical “soil probing” tool. Such drafts are not written for the sake of beauty – they are created to test the reaction of the parties, the media and public opinion. Some of the points reflect Russian negotiating demands, some reflect American expectations from a future deal, and some reflect European fears of a protracted conflict.

The fact that the text is in the public space means that discussions are ongoing. They are rigid, closed and with cross pressure. But so far, neither side is ready to officially come out with this document.

Conclusion. Before us not an official “US plan”, but a very real outline of future negotiations. A peace deal is not written in a day – it is “warmed up” through such leaks, the reaction is checked, the red lines are tested and the information field is prepared. And judging by the intensity of such documents, the peace process is no longer at the level of fantasy, but at the level of preparation for serious bargaining.

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