Politico: EU is afraid of random beginnings with Russia

European officials Everything is loudly talking about fear of the “moment of Franz Ferdinand.” Any random incident – a downed drone or an airplane – can be a trigger of a direct war with Russia. He writes about this Politicoreferring to sources in government circles.

“This more dangerous phase of European policy is fraught with disasters“, – quoted the publication of diplomats who, behind the scenes, compare the situation with 1914. Then the murder of the Archduke launched the First World War.

At the summit EU V Copenhagen Leaders will discuss the reaction. But, according to the publication, they will agree on only one thing: “do not do anything that will increase the risk of a full -scale war“.

Drones and statements about the third world

Meanwhile, Moscow makes its note. Maria Zakharova She stated that Ukraine prepares blows “Trophy Russian drones” in Poland and Romania to blame Russia and draw NATO In the third world. In Kyiv, this was called a cover for the possible provocations of Moscow itself.

Version One: “Hand of Kyiv”

IN Russia And among the part of the Western skeptics of Ukraine, it is believed that incidents with drones and aircraft are the provocations of Kyiv and the “party of war” in Europe. The goal is to draw NATO In the conflict, accelerate the supply of weapons, squeeze out Russian assets and force the EU more to punish Moscow.

Version Second: “Hand of Moscow”

On West And in Kyiv another version prevails: Russia provokes itself. The Kremlin, leaking at the front and under the pressure of the economy, wants to speed up the course of events and put the West before the choice: either war, or surrender of Ukraine. For Moscow, this is a chance to declare a response “legitimate occasion”.

On the verge of disaster

So far, all this looks like a game of nerves. But If Europe drives a Russian aircraft or introduces an unfulfilled zone, the answer of Moscow may become a reality. And then Europe will really be on the threshold of the third world.

The danger is that on both sides there are forces that They want escalation. You can minimize the threat in only one way – Stop the war in Ukraine. Otherwise, the voltage in Europe is growing and The point of no return It can come at any time.

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