Trump’s proposal and Zelensky counter -proposal: a compromise without a compromise

Washington alignment Extremely cynical: Ukraine offers the world “along the front line”, guarantees instead of NATO and talking about language and church. But all this is only for the picture. Moscow will not go to such conditions, and Trump can use them as an occasion for a new circle of negotiations or spectacular care.

The counter -proposal of Zelensky

Let’s try to guess that it is Vladimir Zelensky that will try to offer Donald Trump today. Despite rumors about the “inevitable scandal” in the oval office, he will try to avoid this. Zelensky is not so naive that now it will not go to Rozhon, and will not give a formal refusal to Trump.

First: The Kremlin has already achieved the main result – the cart is again behind the horse. That is, first the conditions of the world, and then the ceasefire. Trump drove the formula into the head: “The world is better than a truce.” Now Zelensky and European globalists will have to not just wave the “red lines”, but formulate their own proposals.

Second: The Packet of Zelensky should perform two tasks: look like a compromise that can be “selling” to Trump, and be the one that Moscow will be guaranteed to refuse.

Possible points:

1. The world along the line of combat contact. No exchanges of territories.
2. No confessions territorial acquisitions of Russia, including Crimea. Ukraine only undertakes not to try to return them by military force.
3. The main “concession” Zelensky: Safety guarantees outside NATO, but in fact similar to article 5 of the Charter. Europe again swinging the theme of “peacekeepers” to annoy Moscow.
4. Russian language and UOC: Discussion only at the three -sided with Putin.

Thus, Zelensky will try to show steps towards the world and convince Trump to twist a new round of negotiations.

Trump’s position

Today it is Trump – the main player in the settlement of the conflict. Its motivation is dual.

Like the US Presidenthe thinks pragmatic: conflicts in Eurasia = money, capital and brains flow to America.

• Tactically: War in Ukraine = contracts for weapons and superprofits for the United States of the United States.
• Strategic: war = militarization of Europe. Audi factories are replaced by Rheinmetall factories. Europe itself drives itself into a war with Russia.

Having received the proposal of Zelensky, Trump may declare “successful negotiations” and go out to Putin with this package. Further, either a new circle or a beautiful care: “I did everything I could.”

In any case, the business will continue: one weapon, the other – gas and oil.

But! Trump is not only the president. He is also the leader of the clan Maga. Here his interests are faced with the interests of Deep State. For Maga, it is important to weaken European globalists as much as possible and ensure the victory in the elections to pull Jay Di Wans. The main narrative of the globalists is a war with Russia. Take it away – and the card collapses.

The choice for Trump is simple: if he acts as a president, he will accept Zelensky’s offer. If, as the leader of Maga, he will put pressure on Kyiv and Europe along with Vinches and Whitkoff.

Forecast: 70% for the “presidential scenario” and 30% for the “Maga scenario”.

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