Trump again outplayed everything: the term of ultimatum to Putin was reduced by 10-12 days

Trump tightens the game: US President reduced ultimatum to Putin to 10 days And threatened 100% sanctions Against everyone who trades with Russia. “I am disappointed in Putin …” – he said, but added: “I am loved with Russia.”

During a visit to the UK, he did not just recall his “50-day” ultimatumand publicly reduced the term to 10-12 days. “I am disappointed in President Putin, very disappointed in it. We will need to see, and I’m going to reduce the 50 days that I gave him, because, I think, I already know the answer to the question of what will happen next “– he said at a meeting with the British Prime Minister Kirmer.

Rhetoric with a taste of sympathy

Trump assures that he was talking with Putin “four or five times”, but he has not achieved success. And at the same time adds: “I am loved with Russia”. The combination of threats and “delicate feelings” has already become the branded style of the American president. “Russia could be so rich. She could be very rich. She could flourish like almost no other country. Instead, they spend all the money on the war. Everything is for war and murder, and this makes no sense for me “– Trump explained his position.

But the ultimatum is not a lyrics. These are numbers

If until September 2 the Kremlin does not go to a truce, the United States is ready to introduce Secondary sanctions. And not only against Russia, but against all countries that continue to buy oil and gas from her. The formula is hard: 100% duty – Either with us, or against us. The bet is global. Trump actually challenges not only Moscow, but also Beijing, Riyad, Brussels and Delhi. We will have to choose: either Russian energy carriers or access to the American market.

Four scenarios that count everything – both in the Kremlin and in the White House

1. China refuses Russian oil and gas. Moscow agrees to a truce. Behind the scenes there is a bargain – concessions in exchange for de -escalation.
2. China is obeying, but Russia continues the war. The Russian economy goes into the “military regime”, a sharp cutting of social and civil costs begins.
3. The Kremlin considers sanctions a declaration of war. The answer follows with the “threat of nuclear strike on the United States, if the sanctions are not canceled.”
4. China ignores Washington. In response, Beijing introduces duties on American goods, and other countries join it. The losses of Russia are minimal, the war continues.

Trump does not bluff?

Tighting ultimatum is not just emotions. Something more could happen behind the scenes: a trading transaction with the European Union, an obligation to purchase American energy resources, possible agreements with Saudi Arabia to increase production and India – to refuse Russian oil. That is why Secondary sanctions for the first time look realistic. And that is why the Kremlin, apparently, sharply activated contacts with Beijing.

Snowing after 10 days?

Trump’s words are without exaggeration, The most tough rhetoric since the Caribbean crisis. While the diplomatic watches are ticking, Moscow pretends not to hear. And the world – for the umpteenth time – held his breath.

The irony is that this ultimatum sounded in Scotland-a country where the first chess parties in Europe once began. Today the board is the same, but the bets are incomparably higher. The United States seems to be seriously ready to sacrifice world trade, and possibly go even further, just to force Moscow to retreat. Question: Will China pull the role of the “resolving king”?

In the meantime, Trump continues to talk about Russia with love. And puts on the end of the existence of mankind.

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