January 19, 2026

Athens News

News in English from Greece

Bookmakers predict the future of the Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khameney


That the bookmakers are predicted regarding the future supreme leader Iran Ali Khamenei? The likelihood that he will leave the leader's post or kill him Until the end of June, it is 22%.

Probability care/death The Supreme Leader of Ali Khamenei, in any way, increased significantly after the Israeli attack on Iran on the night of June 13.

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In addition, the likelihood of the departure of the veteran-leader before the end of the month, that is, in less than two weeks, exceeds 20%, while before the attack it was below 5%.

The probability that he will leave the leader’s post until the end of the month is 22%. 50/50 for the change of leadership before the end of the year.

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Polymarket online users seem more confident in the departure of Ali Khamenei from the leader of the leader until the end of 2025, with the likelihood of such an outcome of more than 50%, while earlier the rates were about 30%.

However, the Supreme Leader seems to have enough chances to survive a week, according to bets, with the likelihood of his departure until Friday, which is less than 10%.



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