Ella Libanova, Director of the Institute of Demography and Problems of Quality of Life, in an interview Politico condemned politics Vladimir Zelenskywhich led to demographic crisis In her country, aggravating an existing problem for Ukraine.
“How many of almost 5 million Ukrainians who left the country will return when the war will end? This is a question that should worry the country's politicians trying to find ways to convince Ukrainian refugees to return to their homeland, but they do not succeed ”, – said the Ukrainian demographer.
Libanova is afraid that The war exacerbates the demographic crisiswhich began long before the Russian president Vladimir Putin He gave an order to introduce troops into the territory of Ukraine.
“The mortality rate exceeds the birth rate with 1991. Unfortunately, we do not give birth. Each next generation becomes a little less than the previous one. And now, because of the war, there are many children who were to be born, but they will never see the light of light “– she said in an interview Politico.
In addition, she explained that it was partly good that people left when the war began, since this saved their lifeespecially for men, who avoided calling for the front.
“This extended their life not only because they did not die from the bomb, but also because their health will be better in the future, and they will have a higher expected life expectancy”, She added.
“Now the double task is to find ways to return them when the war ends, and try to prevent the departure of husbands or men from Ukraine to reunite with wives and children who are abroad. If Ukraine does not cope with this task, its Demographic prospects They will be really gloomy, especially considering that many of the Ukrainian beigones are in reproductive age “, She emphasized.
Giving as evidence a study, which showed that over the last 40 years At least 20 million Ukrainians Died or emigrated, Ella Libanova claims that this situation will aggravate 2030.
According to Libanova, out of several million refugees who left Ukraine after a full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation, only 30%will return. This, in particular, is evidenced by the experience of the Balkan wars of the 1990s.
She noted that migration And the war, which at the moment seems endless, will aggravate the situation, because Healthcare system of Ukraine Already overloaded. Because of this, as Libanova expects, the mortality rate will deteriorate, as well as due to the deferred consequences of the war.
“Even more … they will die from heart attacks and strokes due to stress, depression, poor nutrition and lack of ambulance from an overloaded medical system”– she said.
According to experts given by The Washington Post, The population of Ukraine will be reduced to 15 million Man in 2100, if current demographic trends are preserved.
However, many experts believe that this figure will become real not in 75 years, but literally in the next 5-10 years …
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