Ending the war in Ukraine: scenario No. 4. Pan-European War – 20%

Photo: The Cradle

We continue to publish forecast models from the ZeRada channel. This bush is an extreme derivative previous and is activated if the situation in the rear and at the front for the Office of the President deteriorates more slowly than the processes of militarization and radicalization of Europe.

We have been observing these trends for a long time, and immediately after Trump's victory globalists accelerated movement in this direction to compensate for the US withdrawal from the conflict with greater European involvement.

This cannot be done without Germany.. That's why it was launched process of sudden change of chancellorWhen instead of the cautious Scholz globalists lead to power Merz, who guaranteed to increase Germany's involvement in the conflict. There is no doubt that they will succeed in their plans after the elections in Romania. At the same time, society in Europe is being pumped up with anti-Russian hysteria in order to make the conflict with Russia more acceptable.

For Trump, such a scenario is also not something terrible, because the larger the conflict, the more weapons will be needed. The US is the world's main arms supplier. Therefore, the American military-industrial complex will calculate new super-profits. Plus, European capital will flee even more to the States.

After all, at the most global level, if you cannot destroy the Russia-China alliance, then it is better to weaken China's key partner. Yes, at the expense of Europe, but in general this is absolutely in Trump’s logic:

“I suggested that Russia make peace, but they didn’t want to. We couldn’t return Russia to the West, and accordingly, we threw all of Europe against it. Further, any result other than a nuclear one is acceptable to the American administration.”.

Therefore, the longer and bloodier the war in Europe, the more weight the United States will gain in Western civilization. The main thing is that this does not develop into a global nuclear conflict. But America is very strong at pre-threshold conflict management.

And of course, this cluster of scenarios is most applicable to Vladimir Zelensky, because it makes him a sucker of historical proportions.

Scenario cluster No. 3. Syrian option – 30%.

Scenario cluster No. 1-2

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