February 8, 2025

Athens News

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US elections: in "hesitant" none of the candidates has an advantage in states (video)


A poll from The New York Times and Siena College found that neither Harris nor Trump had an edge in swing states. Features of American elections.

Harris is leading by a small margin in Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin, Trump is in Arizona. Both candidates have identical results in Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania. The rivals in the presidential race, if they are leading in some states, are by a slight margin. We can say that they have the same results.

The poll shows that neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris were able to build up a convincing lead in any of the seven key states that “decide” the fate of the presidential election taking place today, November 5. However, all results are within the margin of error – no candidate has final priority.

Survey carried out from October 24 to November 2 among an estimated 1,010 voters in Nevada, 1,305 in Wisconsin, 1,010 in North Carolina, 1,004 in Georgia, 1,527 in Pennsylvania, 992 voters in Michigan and Arizona.

How to follow the progress of the US elections from Europe, navigate the tense situation and keep abreast of all events? Tomorrow, Europeans will be closely watching what is happening on the other side of the Atlantic. Americans in all 50 states will head to the polls to choose the next leader of the world's most powerful country. Their choices will have far-reaching consequences for Europe and beyond, affecting everything from trade and the economy to technology, the environment and health.

About 65 million Americans have already made their choice thanks to early and absentee voting, which allows people to cast their vote in advance or by mail. So what can you expect in the coming night? What are the features of American elections?

There is no point in following the presidential race in every state. Only seven key ones, the “wavers,” will truly determine the outcome. These are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In the remaining states, the results will be more or less a foregone conclusion. Pennsylvania will receive special attention because it has 19 Electoral College members, the largest number among swing states.

The first exit polls will appear around 23:00 Central European Time (CET). They will give us an early indication of trends, but many polling stations will remain open for several more hours. Exit polls will also provide valuable information about turnout and voter demographics (education, background, gender, age), which often hint at the direction of the race.

Polling stations will close from 23:00 to 05:00 CET, starting in Kentucky and Indiana and ending in Alaska and Hawaii. But their results will not be decisive, since they have only three and four electoral votes, respectively.

Swing state closings: Georgia at 01:00 (CET), North Carolina at 01:30, Pennsylvania at 02:00, Michigan between 02:00 and 03:00, Nevada at 04 :00, in Wisconsin and Arizona – at 03:00.

Don't expect all states to announce their results at once. The first major results should come from Georgia around 4 a.m., followed by North Carolina and Michigan. Unlike other states, mail-in ballots are counted before polls close. Early results from these states could already set the tone for the night. For example, if Harris wins both Georgia and North Carolina, the votes of Arizona voters could become decisive.

If the election margins are decisive in Georgia and North Carolina, clear results from those states may be announced first, but if the results are close, a recount could be requested, further delaying the final outcome.

In 2020, only Arizona announced its results on election night. Other states took longer, with some taking days or even two weeks to finalize results due to recounts.

Both Republican and Democratic teams have already prepared legal challenges that could force a recount. This election has been marked by heightened tensions, personal attacks and even doubts about the integrity of the process. Protests cannot be ruled out. Consider how Joe Biden's 2020 victory over then-President Donald Trump sparked a riot at the U.S. Capitol in January 2021, a moment characterized by a congressional panel as an attempted coup.



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