In Greece, they began to discuss the situation with the entry of NATO troops into Ukraine if the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine that began on May 6 ends in failure.
The Ukrainian counter-offensive against the Russian line of defense on the borders of the regions that became part of the Russian Federation after the September referenda is already showing signs of failure, although the fighting has only been going on for the third day.
https://twitter.com/Trollstoy88/status/1666789338275872770
Ukraine’s Western allies are worried, and some NATO countries that are “burning” for Ukraine’s victory want to actively participate in the war themselves.
The information came after former NATO Secretary General Anders Rasmussen said that “the NATO Group may want to send troops to Ukraine if member states, including the United States, do not provide Kiev with real security guarantees at the alliance summit in Vilnius.”
“Rasmussen made his remark as current NATO head Jens Stoltenberg said that the issue of security guarantees would be on the agenda in Vilnius, but added that NATO – in accordance with Article 5 of the Washington Treaty – provides full security guarantees only to full members,” writes The Guardian.
We are talking about Poland, the Baltic States, Great Britain, which has a special “connection” with Poland, which she abandoned twice in the 20th century (in 1939 to the Germans and in 1945 to the USSR) and probably feels “guilty”, as well as others countries, such as Germany, who are asking NATO to approve sending their countries’ military to help Kiev.
Any involvement by these countries will also encourage other NATO countries to send troops to Ukraine, such as Greece.
Greek edition pronewsstates that “there is already a unit ready to be sent to Ukraine, but for now we will limit ourselves to this, since the lives of the Greeks are at stake, and any information should not be disclosed …
The author of the material, the editor of the publication Theophrastos Andreopoulos believes that this will not happen “immediately, not with the“ first wave ”of NATO troops. And since there will be an air clash, there is one Greek Air Force squadron that can be deployed to Ukraine.
However, the Mitsotakis government seems to have understood how the game is being played, and this time they will demand compensation, following the example of Turkey”…
Of course, it should be noted that we have not yet seen the large-scale participation in combat of either the Leopard-2A4 / A6 (Russia claims that several Leopard-2A4s have already been destroyed), and even less the flawed Leopard-1A5, which Berlin is restoring to transfer Ukraine, neither the British Challenger-2, nor the American M1A2 Abrams.
Only the French AMX-30RCs have seen major attacks and been destroyed relatively easily, but these are light units, suitable perhaps for Afghanistan or Libya, but unsuitable in the field with powerful enemy artillery and anti-tank weapons.
Western anti-aircraft weapons have also not been very effective against Russian air attacks using hovering munitions, kamikaze drones, cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, etc.
The fact is that when the advancing number of air attack weapons exceeds the number of interceptor missiles, it is impossible, regardless of the effectiveness of the Patriot PAC-3, Iris-T, SAMP-T, etc., to shoot them all down.
And the question is, “Is it worth spending a million-dollar Patriot missile on a $20,000 Shahed-136?” All air defense commanders will answer “no”. The problem is that Russia has Shahed-136, Lancet, etc. UAVs. many thousands and knocking them down with jars of cucumbers is quite difficult.
At the same time, the Russian military industry works in three shifts and continuously produces Kalibr cruise missiles, Iskander-M ballistic missiles, etc. to such an extent that, according to independent sources, they have already replenished 60% of the weapons produced in the previous 15 months of the war!
The main thing is that the Russians seem to have learned some lessons, such as defense without retreat.
Briefly about the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
- The Ukrainian counter-offensive has begun, but so far to no avail.
- Neither side seems to have an “advantage”.
- The Russian General Staff uses absolute air superiority, and quite effectively: the Ukrainian Air Force is almost gone. Targets on the ground are hit indiscriminately.
- Russian artillery is still superior to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, at least in terms of the number of shells fired.
- Ukrainians have improved a lot in control and management. Their units carry out successful and coordinated attacks, but they lack strength as they attack at a 2:1 ratio. This is clearly not enough to break through the front. Last fall, the ratio was 5:1 in favor of the Ukrainians.
- The Russian Army is everywhere now, and the Donetsk and Lugansk National Guards are simply plugging holes.
- PMC Wagner is being restored and the Chechens have not yet joined the battle
- Western weapons were used by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but without much result.
- On the southern front, Zaporozhye and Kherson, everything will be decided for the Ukrainians. If they enter Melitopol, they will win.
Ultimately, the battle is not over, and it could still happen…
The image below shows Ukraine’s confirmed losses over the past few days, presented mostly by credible Swedish analyst Mikael Waltersson.
https://twitter.com/MikaelValterss1/status/1666662302140051458
ANALYSIS OF UKRAINIAN TACTICS IN THE MORNING OF JUNE 8.
I must say that I am both somewhat puzzled and disappointed by the Ukrainian armed forces and their behavior on the battlefield on the Southern Front. There may be a hidden tactic that will be revealed in the coming days, but what we’ve seen since June 4th doesn’t look good.
I was very disappointed in the Russian armed forces at the beginning of the war and surprised by the fighting prowess of the Ukrainian troops. In anticipating a Ukrainian counter-offensive, I expected the Ukrainian forces to perform and perform better than they did.
I wonder if this is a case of underestimation of the Russian adversary? It appears that the Ukrainian troops expected the Russians to break under pressure and simply leave their positions.
I cannot explain Ukrainian tactics otherwise. They attack wave after wave right into the minefields and Russian kill zones. The Russians are often accused of using human waves when attacking, but it now appears that the Ukrainians are doing the same against Russian defenses.
It is suicide if the enemy stays and fights.
Even if the Ukrainian forces manage to break through one line of defense thanks to local superiority in soldiers and weapons, they will lose the bigger game with horrendous losses.
They should understand this, I’m sure of it.
Therefore, the only explanation is that they underestimated their Russian adversary and expected him to take flight.
This underestimation is probably based on the successful information war between Kyiv and the West, claiming that the Russians are useless fighters. This narrative seems to have been so successful that Ukrainian planners were convinced by their own propaganda that they could simply kick the door in and the whole rotten Russian house would collapse.
It could cost Ukraine any chance of winning this summer. But realizing reality could cost Ukraine a lot of popular support for the war effort, both in the West and even within Ukraine. It is a little ironic that Ukraine seems to be repeating Russia’s underestimation of Ukrainian capabilities and willpower since February 2022.
The figure shows 42 videos of confirmed Ukrainian casualties in recent days. Sorry for the disparaging figure, it is attached to the picture.
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