Several conclusions on the “landing” of Protasevich

Here’s what we have to say: let’s share the humanitarian whining about the “poor boy”, whom the “Belarusian gebnya” will certainly torture in dungeons, and the logic of the state. These, as they say in Odessa, are two big differences. In the world of humanism, Roman Protasevich is, of course, the victim. A good and handsome guy, not without brains, active, he edited the influential opposition telegram channel “Nekhta” for two million people (at the peak of which a million, it seems, were Iranian bots), posted anti-Lukashenka memes there, led his informational jihad for the freedom of the Belarusian people , ended up in Poland, which is for the freedom of the Belarusian people and their liberation from under the yoke of a mustachioed cockroach. He fell victim to Lukashenka’s cunning plan, where Roman did not even have to be blackmailed with the health of his loved ones, and no one called him to the Belarusian consulate in Istanbul. They simply violated international law (according to some commentators) and landed the plane with the help of a fighter, although the same pilots claim that they did it on their own (apparently, the “specialists” had not yet had time to communicate with them). The logic of the state system is slightly different. There is an opposition information resource, which is somewhat more credible than official channels. There are information resource operators who are located on the territory of a somewhat hostile state that is part of a hostile military-political bloc. This resource is so valuable and effective that it is overseen by foreign and, no doubt, hostile special services, the main task of which (like absolutely any special service in absolutely any state of the world) is to undermine the constitutional order of opponents. The state thinks as follows: you work for the opponent, so you are a resource. If you work effectively, it means that you are an object of intelligence interest. And the object of operational development. This means that the state sets itself the goal of getting you and is making a number of serious efforts for this. In the case of Roman Protasevich, we see a head-on collision of two logics. On the one hand, the humanitarian one – “the boy fought against the system using the methods available to him”, and on the other hand, the state one – “the boy rocked the regime with the help of intelligence of a foreign state.” The problem is that humanitarian logic stopped working some time ago. We have repeatedly seen in the news how some states (we will not name them by name) staged actions that, frankly, did not correspond to the “accepted norms of international law.” For example, alleged (this is important) al-Qaeda members were captured in quite quiet European cities (such as Rome or Milan), and then they were sent to top secret prisons in Poland or Ukraine and they were really tortured there. Or specially trained specialists came to Qatar, and then people with the surname Yandarbiev (with a Russian passport, by the way) flew into the air. If someone has illusions that Alexander Grigorievich Lukashenko is acting in some logic different from others, we hasten to dissuade you. The logic now (and for the foreseeable future) will be just that. Unfortunately, this is how adult politics works. And there is no reason to think that it will change in the coming years.

In fact, Lukashenka’s enemies themselves gave him the legitimacy of this detention. After what they themselves had previously done (Evo Morales’ plane with Snowden, plane with Martirosyan on board and other similar stories), it will be difficult for them to say that this is “niiiiizya”. The Overton window, after all, it is universal for everyone, no matter how sad it is for humanity.

Conclusions:

the system of international law continues to burst at the seams, demonstrating its inefficiency, the West is shocked, because before that it could only be done by them, everyone wins except Petrasevich, Batka received a victorious power case, which will be perceived exclusively as a victory by his electorate , It will be easier for the Russian Federation to drive Belarus into a “uniting fraternal embrace” because of the new sanctions, Tikhanovskaya got a reason for another actualization of the struggle, the West got an excellent reason for new sanctions, which can easily and for a long time be demonstrated to your people as an example of medieval barbarism.

These, as they say in Odessa, are two big differences. In the world of humanism, Roman Protasevich is, of course, the victim. A good and handsome guy, not without brains, active, he edited the influential opposition telegram channel “Nekhta” for two million people (at the peak of which a million, it seems, were Iranian bots), posted anti-Lukashenka memes there, led his informational jihad for the freedom of the Belarusian people , ended up in Poland, which is for the freedom of the Belarusian people and their liberation from under the yoke of a mustachioed cockroach. He fell victim to Lukashenka’s cunning plan, where Roman did not even have to be blackmailed with the health of his loved ones, and no one called him to the Belarusian consulate in Istanbul. They simply violated international law (according to some commentators) and landed the plane with the help of a fighter, although the same pilots claim that they did it on their own (apparently, the “specialists” had not yet had time to communicate with them). …



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